An Addendum on Total Runs
A while back, I made a post about how I contacted Bill James about his “Total Runs” system, and I discussed its flaws and how to correct them. Well, I wrote him back and made my point a bit clearer:
I followed up my question about Total Runs with an example, but it was never answered. So I’ll give it a go again!
Let’s say Player A has 99 RC in 553 at-bats. Over the course of these 553 at-bats, he has also accumulated 409 outs (AB-H+CS+GIDP). Player B, on the other hand, has 99 RC in 525 at-bats and has accumulated 374 outs. This means that Player A has an R/O (runs divided by outs) of 0.24 and Player B has an R/O of 0.26. They’re obviously NOT the same hitter, but TR makes the assumption that they are.
Can you please implement a baseline to correct this issue? Or is it a non-issue after all?
It’s been a little over a week since I sent him that message. He’s replied to other readers, but not to me. I guess he has his reasons. I just hope he makes those changes. If not now, then sometime soon.